EUR/USD: Waiting for the election rally – DBS

EUR/USD is trading sideways within a 1.0660-1.0760 range unable to decide its direction ahead of the first round of France’s snap election on June 30, DBS analyst Philip Wee notes.

Euro trading sideways ahead of the inevitable

“EUR/USD is in a 1.0660-1.0760 range, awaiting the first round of France’s snap election on June 30. Assuming none of the parties win an outright majority, a second round will be held on July 7. The polls suggest President Emmanuel Macron’s party will not secure an outright or relative majority.”

“The far-right National Rally leader, Jordan Bardella, said he would not become Prime Minister without an outright majority. Hence, France is looking at a “cohabitation” with Bardella as Prime Minister and Macron as President or political paralysis.” 

“The European Central Bank (ECB) will probably play down EU break-up risks at its Forum on Central Banking in Sintra next week. The ECB and the other global central banks will probably be closely aligned in their plans to navigate a data-dependent path toward removing top-level restrictions on rates for the rest of this year.”